Stephen Rees's blog

Thoughts about the relationships between transport and the urban area it serves

Archive for August 16th, 2009

Canada Line subsidy will be felt for years to come

with 19 comments

Charlie Smith in the Georgia Straight forecasts “bad news for taxpayers and transit riders.”

it might take until 2013 before the Canada Line generates 100,000 riders per day

He adds that peak oil will also add to Translink’s woes and rehearses the history of the decision. But what caught my eye was a comment beneath his article

A quick search on the internet shows that the 98 B-Line has approximately 18,000 boardings daily or 9,000 passengers daily:

http://www.apta.com/research/info/briefings/documents/mills.pdf

The annual revenue from the 98 B-Line might be $20 million if you really push it and do some creative accounting, and maybe 10% of this $2,000 million is left over after paying for the light bulbs at the stations, security costs and other operating costs for the RAV Line.

Now I am impressed when a comment not only provides statistics – but also a source and a link where it can be verified. The “briefing note” itself is undated – but it seems to be from around 2003.  Now while I applaud the anonymous “Vancouver Resident” for his research skills, the math used is based on a false premise. The Canada Line replaces a lot more bus service than the B-Line. Every express bus from south of the Fraser will be short turned at the new Bridgeport Station. It would not be hard at all to go look up the Translink web page and get the list of truncated services.    (I find hard to take that this represents “increased choice” that this release claims: it is a forced transfer.)

· #311 Scottsdale
· #351 Crescent Beach
· #352 Ocean Park
· #354 White Rock Centre / White Rock South
· #601 South Delta / Boundary Bay
· #602 Tsawwassen Heights
· #603 Beach Grove
· #604 English Bluff
· #620 Tsawwassen Ferry

I poked about a bit – including on the one designed to inform about Richmond changes – but I do know that the following routes will cease to run

  • #488 Garden City
  • #490 Steveston
  • #491 One Road
  • #492 Two Road
  • #496 Railway

These routes appeared at the first sheet change after the B-Line was introduced, as Vancouver passengers were filling all the buses and preventing Richmond commuters from getting home. Some duplicate parts of the  B Line route on Granville – some run on Oak Street.

And, of course, there will be some people who used to use the #15 on Cambie itself.

Now all of these buses carry passengers – but I do not know how many and I am not at all sure I would believe Translink’s data – even if I could find it. But certainly a goodly percentage of passengers on the Canada Line on September 7 and thereafter will be people who used these buses. So “Vancouver Resident’s” calculations need to be revised.

But the second assumption about revenue is also misplaced – because you do not pay a fare to ride a bus route or a train line but a transit system – and on weekday  daytimes you have to pay more depending on how much of the system you want to use.  So there is no way to determine how much revenue the B line now collects – because many people who board the bus have a pass or a transfer.

Thirdly, there will be some people who will now start to use transit because there is now a train. It has to be said that there is a demographic difference in Vancouver between bus passengers and SkyTrain passengers. Males between the ages of 20 and 50 – especially in higher income brackets – who would not be seen dead on a bus will happily board a train. And the new route will make some journeys that previously required transfers – or slow rides – will be faster for some. So that will attract additional  transit passengers. Though I will be very surprised indeed if it makes a significant difference to the overall share that transit takes  of the region’s transport market. Because that forced transfer – and the routing along Cambie – will also deter some users, and they may well decide to drive instead. Because while the train  may be faster than the bus it is the overall journey time (door to door) , its comfort and convenience, that will count.

All of which seems a bit long to add to the comments section on the Straight’s page.

R8062 sb on No 3 Road on #98 B-Line

Written by Stephen Rees

August 16, 2009 at 1:43 pm

Posted in transit

A transport tax would get us moving

with 4 comments

This is an opinion piece from Rob Williams published by the Guardian. He compares the method of raising funds for public transport (what we call transit) in Britain and France.

In Britain, he notes, public transport funding is now uncertain – partly due to the notable failures of what we call P3s to come up with workable solutions,  and cites the collapse of the privatisation of London Underground.

Leeds, Liverpool and Portsmouth, proposed tram schemes were scrapped by the Labour government, after millions of pounds had been spent developing the plans, in large part because of the uncertainties about costs and funding. If funding was one of the main impediments – even before the credit crunch – to providing a public transport system fit for the 21st century, then maybe we should look across the Channel to see why the French have one of the best local transport networks in the world.

Sounds familiar doesn’t it? The three schemes mentioned here might be compared to the on again off again Evergreen Line. Things do get built in the UK – for instance Nottingham has recently announced it will extend it tram system both south and west – schemes which have been in the planning phase for many years. But the contrast with France shows that there is an alternative that gives regional authorities both significant cash flows for capital schemes and support for running costs. It is based on a payroll tax. Not a big one – just 1% of the payroll for employers with more than nine employees, which can go up  to 1.75% if there is a big project (more in the Paris region). And it can only go on transit projects – not roads or bridges.

Those who gain from a good public transport should pay something towards it. As the International Association of Public Transport (UITP) says, “employers and retailers both gain from the provision of public transport services which give them access to a wider labour market and retail market respectively”. The most important source of funding for local public transport projects in France is the versement transport (transport tax), or VT for short.

Interesting view that – retailers actually benefit from transit spending! And again, note that France lead Europe in the development of hypermarchés, the huge big box stores on the edge of town with vast parking lots that sell nearly everything.

I can hear the howls here already. First from the groups like the DVBIA and the local Chambers of Commerce. The exemption for small businesses will be ignored – it will be decried by both left and right as a “tax on jobs” and will be said to kill enterprises. Moreover both will insists that only massive spending on more roads that allow people to drive everywhere can actually help business. You can bet too that the significant lobby that backs highway expansions will start work immediately to undermine the proposal. It clearly runs counter to the interests of the people who sell gasoline, cars and tires – as well as those who benefit from big contracts to build and repair roads and bridges. These are the people who have dominated the debate in North America for years, with the results we see before us now.

There’s also the argument – recently aired by Paul Landry among others – that many people in this region do not get good transit service now so they should not be expected to pay to make it better.  Which I think is a syllogism.

Perhaps someone who has been part of the recent Translink exercise can tell me if the idea of payroll taxes was ever raised as part of those discussions? I cannot recall it getting mentioned in any of the coverage I have seen – and I am sure it would have attracted a lot of notice if it had.

Studies in France have confirmed that the VT does not have a significant effect on labour costs, nor on company location. It has a very limited taxation impact (less than 1% of the overall French tax burden). It is a powerful tool for financing and developing public transport in France, which is why the VT has been introduced in more than 85% of urban areas. Almost 40% of the costs of public transport in France are financed by the VT.

In North America we have become entrapped in a dogma that says all taxation is bad – and all government  spending is inefficient. That taxes must be cut for both corporations and the wealthy must be reduced – or eliminated – in order to promote economic growth, or rather produce increases in the GDP, which is not a very good indicator of well being in my – and many others – view. The fact that the expected results do not happen – that wealth does not trickle down, that corporations end up paying little or no tax, and that government spending is now prioritized to prop up corporate well being while essential social services are allowed to wither – being largely ignored by the corporate owned and controlled media.

It is also significant that France avoids the trap of the “balanced” policy that is often foisted on English speaking nations. Not that the French do not have autoroutes, or have spent lots of government money on car (Renault, Citroen) and tire makers (Michelin). But that they do so at the same time as spending much more on railways and public transport in general. Here the advocates of “complete systems” are really simply trying to divert as much as they can get away with to road spending. In the early days of Translink it was common to hear the argument that – for instance – you can’t put in a bus lane on a two lane highway. And even the very dubious – well the population has grown much faster than the road network in recent years, so now we have to catch up. And of course the entirely specious case for more road spending to improve freight movement. (Even on the Port Mann Bridge trucks are less than 8% of the traffic flow – and that is the busiest freight road in the region.)

Rob Williams ends by making economic arguments to support the idea, but I am not going to take that line. I actually think that we should embrace the notion that we probably have more than enough now – it just is not distributed very well. And we also know that what we have been doing – are doing now – is not sustainable. Exponential growth cannot happen for very long in a finite system – and we human beings have to recognize that we have severely tested the ability of the environment and ecology on which we depend for the essential things in life  – air, food, water – and one of the reasons for this is our relatively recent adoption of personal motorized transportation for everyone. We have known for a long time that this cannot be made to work in large urban regions – but that has not stopped resistance to public investment in better alternatives. We also now realize (or ought to) that reduction of car use and greater development densities are going to be essential components in a more sustainable future – both regionally and globally. Better transit is an essential part of reducing the size of our footprint – carbon or ecological.

Yes, adopting a payroll tax in one region – or one province – may well encourage some firms to think about relocating. But the ones that stay and see the benefits of better transit will be the long term winners. I think Metro Vancouver could actually start to live up to its reputation for a change. It is significant that not only did Microsoft decide to relocate to Richmond recently, but the first ting it did was to set up an employee transit system. Obviously some companies realize that if you want to recruit and retain employees, a favoured spot in the company parking lot may not count for very much in future.

Written by Stephen Rees

August 16, 2009 at 11:15 am

Posted in transit

Tagged with ,